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D.N.C. Chairman Calls for ‘Recanvass’ of Iowa Results: Live Updates
Pete Buttigieg’s slim lead in the Iowa caucus results almost entirely evaporated overnight. The Iowa Democratic Party released another batch of results late Wednesday, and with 97 percent of precincts reported, Mr. Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders were in a near tie. The latest results are here.
A New York Times analysis found that the caucus results released on Wednesday — results that were delayed by days — were riddled with inconsistencies and other flaws.
Tom Perez, the Democratic National Committee chairman, tweeted that “enough is enough” and called for the Iowa Democratic Party to “immediately begin a recanvass” in order to “assure public confidence in the results.”
Meanwhile, the Democratic presidential candidates are campaigning in New Hampshire, which holds its primary on Tuesday. A new poll showed Mr. Sanders with a narrow lead over Mr. Buttigieg in that contest, followed by Joseph R. Biden Jr., Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar.
Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont climbed to a narrow lead in a new Monmouth poll of New Hampshire voters, who will cast their ballots on Tuesday.
Mr. Sanders had 24 percent support in the poll, which included both registered Democrats and independent voters who are likely to participate in the primary. He was followed by former Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., at 20 percent; former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. at 17; Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts at 13; and Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota at 9.
Each of the top five candidates was within the margin of error — plus or minus 4.4 percentage points — of the candidates directly above and below them.
The poll is roughly in line with the results coming out of Iowa, which are incomplete but show Mr. Sanders and Mr. Buttigieg in a tight race for first and second, followed by Ms. Warren, Mr. Biden and Ms. Klobuchar. But only 49 percent of voters said they had made a firm decision.
“There are some hints in the poll that Buttigieg could be helped and Biden hurt as the caucus results start to sink in,” Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement, noting that voters want to choose a candidate who can beat President Trump. “Confidence is contagious, and voters want to go with a winner.”
If voters’ preferences do shift, “this might not happen until the final days,” Mr. Murray said.
Behind the top five were Representative Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii and the entrepreneur Andrew Yang at 4 percent each, and the former hedge fund executive Tom Steyer at 3 percent.
Senator Michael Bennet of Colorado — who has staked his entire campaign on New Hampshire, campaigning exclusively there even in the last days before the Iowa caucuses — was at 1 percent.
MANCHESTER, N.H. — Following more delays and errors in reporting of the Iowa caucus results, the chairman of the Democratic National Committee called on the Iowa Democratic Party to immediately begin a full “recanvass” of the state.
“Enough is enough,” Tom Perez, the D.N.C. chairman, said on Twitter on Thursday. “In light of the problems that have emerged in the implementation of the delegate selection plan and in order to assure public confidence in the results, I am calling on the Iowa Democratic Party to immediately begin a recanvass.”
The delay in results that began on Monday night has continued for days, with at least 3 percent of the state results still unreported as of Thursday.
And according to a New York Times analysis published on Thursday morning, more than 100 precincts across the state reported results that were either internally inconsistent, missing data or that were not possible under the complex rules of the Iowa caucuses.
A statewide re-canvass would require a “hand audit” of worksheets from the more than 1,600 caucus precincts in Iowa and 87 satellite caucuses in Iowa, other states and overseas.
It would not require officials to hand count the preference cards filled out by tens of thousands of caucusgoers.
At issue is the math that leaders of caucuses — in particular satellite caucuses — used to determine the allocation of state delegate equivalents, the metric that will determine Iowa’s winner.
The problem now centers on the Delegate Selection Plan — essentially, the rules of the caucus — that was approved by the D.N.C.
State party officials gave different information about how satellite caucuses would allocate state delegate equivalents to the presidential campaigns than was in the delegate selection plan, a Democratic official said.
Some of the presidential campaigns based their satellite caucus strategy around the calculations articulated in the plan published by the D.N.C., and others did so based on information they had received from the state party.
The discrepancy led to the chaos that has enveloped the week following the caucuses.
The Iowa Democratic Party put out a series of incremental updates on the caucus results on Wednesday, none of which really moved the overall picture — until last night.
Now, Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg are nearly tied in the state delegate count, a measure Mr. Buttigieg previously led by a small but seemingly stable margin. Helping Mr. Sanders close the gap were results from satellite caucuses, sites set up both in Iowa and in far-flung locations — places like Florida and the former Soviet republic of Georgia — to make the caucus process somewhat more accessible.
With the latest results included, Mr. Buttigieg and Mr. Sanders are now separated by just three state delegates out of 2,098 allocated so far, with Mr. Buttigieg ahead. With a batch of caucus results still outstanding, the race is clearly too close to call by the delegate measure, the traditional metric for determining a winner in Iowa.
What has remained consistent, however, is Mr. Sanders’s lead in both the first and final alignments of caucusing — effectively a measure of the popular vote. He is ahead of Mr. Buttigieg by 1.5 percentage points in the final raw-vote total and a margin of about 2,500 votes, a lead that is highly unlikely to disappear in the last rounds of reporting.
Also unchanged has been the order of finish among the rest of the candidates: Elizabeth Warren has maintained her position in third place, by both delegate and popular-vote measures, followed by Joseph R. Biden Jr. and then Amy Klobuchar.
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