How the Tide Turned Against Roy Moore in Alabama

By FORD FESSENDEN and K.K. REBECCA LAI DEC. 13, 2017

Big cities, college towns and black communities sent a wave of energized voters to cast ballots for Doug Jones, the Democratic Senate candidate, in Alabama on Tuesday. At the same time, many white suburbanites deserted President Trump’s choice, Roy S. Moore, and much of the president’s white rural bloc stayed home.

Here are statewide results for the race, compared with the 2016 presidential election.

50

70%

Vote share

Democrat

Republican

Presidential Election 2016

U.S. Senate Special Election 2017

Turnout change from
2014 governor race+14%
Change in G.O.P. margin
from Trump 2016-14 pct. pts.
Write-in votes1.7%

There was a discernible write-in vote, but most of the protest against the Republican candidate seemed to be registered in votes for his opponent.

Suburban White Voters

An ominous harbinger for Republicans in future elections came from areas with mostly white voters who have relatively high incomes and higher levels of education. Solidly Trump in 2016, those areas showed far less enthusiasm for the president’s United States Senate candidate one year later and seemed motivated to register their doubts: Turnout was up, and write-ins were high.

These are counties that are at least 75 percent white, and where at least 20 percent of residents have a college degree.

Presidential Election 2016

U.S. Senate Special Election 2017

Turnout change from
2014 governor race+18%
Change in G.O.P. margin
from Trump 2016–14 pct. pts.
Write-in votes2.3%

Big Cities

The most committed voters were in the state’s larger cities. Residents in Birmingham, Mobile, Huntsville and Montgomery, which have high populations of black residents and young professionals, turned out in unusually high numbers, and Mr. Jones won more than 60 percent of the vote. Democrats and allied groups ran a widespread, but quiet, turnout campaign, which may have juiced the urban voting.

Here are results from the state’s four biggest counties.

Presidential Election 2016

U.S. Senate Special Election 2017

Turnout change from
2014 governor race+31%
Change in G.O.P. margin
from Trump 2016–13 pct. pts.
Write-in votes1.8%

Trump’s Biggest Supporters

The belt of predominantly white counties that were Mr. Trump’s most enthusiastic backers appeared to be the most demoralized: Turnout was down 45 percent from a year ago.

Here are results from counties that voted for Mr. Trump by 80 percent or more.

Presidential Election 2016

U.S. Senate Special Election 2017

Turnout change from
2014 governor race–5%
Change in G.O.P. margin
from Trump 2016–9 pct. pts.
Write-in votes1.6%

College Towns

Turnout in college towns was especially high in the Senate race, as was the antipathy toward Mr. Moore. Mr. Trump won Lee County, home to Auburn University, with 58 percent of the vote; Mr. Moore won just 41 percent.

College students “dislike Trump intensely, disagree dramatically with the G.O.P. on most or all social issues, and regard Republicans as being from a moon of Jupiter,” said Larry J. Sabato, the director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia. “Over time, this will be deadly to the G.O.P.”

These counties are the state’s youngest, and home to major colleges.

Presidential Election 2016

U.S. Senate Special Election 2017

Turnout change from
2014 governor race+24%
Change in G.O.P. margin
from Trump 2016–16 pct. pts.
Write-in votes1.8%

Black Voters

In overwhelmingly black rural counties, Republican votes went from few to fewer. Turnout was higher than in the 2014 governor’s election, but did not grow as much as in other areas. These counties are at least 60 percent black.

Presidential Election 2016

U.S. Senate Special Election 2017

Turnout change from
2014 governor race+10%
Change in G.O.P. margin
from Trump 2016–5 pct. pts.
Write-in votes0.0%

Note: Turnout change is the number of voters in 2017 compared with another off-year election, the 2014 governor’s race.

Sources: Dave Leip’s Atlas of Presidential Elections; Social Explorer; Associated Press

NYT

‘The Shape of Water’ and ‘Big Little Lies’ Lead Golden Globe Nominations

y BROOKS BARNESUPDATED 10:43 PM

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• The Golden Globes ceremony will be broadcast live on NBC on Jan. 7. Here are the top nominees.

• “The Shape of Water,” “The Post,” “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” and “Lady Bird” all received multiple nominations. There were surprises and snubs.

• In the TV categories, expected nominees like “Big Little Lies” and “The Handmaid’s Tale” were joined by newcomers like “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.”

Photo

Sally Hawkins as Elisa in “The Shape of Water.” Credit Kerry Hayes/Fox Searchlight Pictures

Golden Globes voters nominated a wide mix of movies on Monday, pulling smaller dramas like “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” deeper into the Oscar race, throwing support to Ridley Scott’s last-minute effort to erase Kevin Spacey from “All the Money in the World” and embracing diversity among the nominees.

But there were also prominent snubs. “The Big Sick,” which was expected to get Globes love in the best comedy and screenplay categories, among others, was completely ignored. And among television shows, “Veep” and “Transparent” were unexpectedly not invited.

The largest number of movie nominations — seven — went to Guillermo del Toro’s fantasy “The Shape of Water,” including ones for best drama, director, actress (Sally Hawkins), supporting actress (Octavia Spencer) and supporting actor (Richard Jenkins). Close behind with six apiece were “The Post,” a Watergate-era drama about the struggles of Katharine Graham to lead The Washington Post, and “Three Billboards,” about a mother (Frances McDormand, a nominee for best actress) who pushes local authorities to investigate her daughter’s murder.

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All of those films come from 20th Century Fox, which led film companies with 27 nominations, including 15 from its Fox Searchlight specialty label.

“All three come from filmmakers with something important to say — uncompromised, singular, strong, auteur voices,” said Stacey Snider, Fox’s movie chief. “I’m proud that we have differentiated ourselves as a place for that kind of filmmaking.”

The other nominees for best drama were “Dunkirk,” Christopher Nolan’s World War II epic, and the romance “Call Me by Your Name.” Voters also gave Mr. Nolan a directing nod but unexpectedly disregarded the “Call Me by Your Name” filmmaker Luca Guadagnino.

Long seen as the most unserious stop on Hollywood’s awards circuit, the Golden Globes are handed out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, a group of mostly freelance journalists, only 89 of whom vote. Studios see members as easy to manipulate, a reputation the group contends is long outdated. (A lawsuit in 2011 alleged payola and kickbacks. The organization settled out of court.)

And top prizes are split into dramatic and comedic categories, often in confounding ways. This time around, the satirical horror film “Get Out” was nominated in the best musical or comedy category. (Its backers at Universal submitted it there, hoping to improve its chances, creating an internet brush fire last month.) “Get Out” will compete against the P.T. Barnum musical “The Greatest Showman”; the figure-skating dark comedy “I, Tonya”; the movie-about-a-movie “The Disaster Artist”; and Greta Gerwig’s coming-of-age comedic drama “Lady Bird,” which drew four nominations.

But timing is everything in show business, and Academy Award voters (some 8,400) cannot help but pay attention to the Globes. The 75th Globes ceremony will be hosted by Seth Meyers and broadcast live on NBC on Jan. 7. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will announce Oscar nominations on Jan. 23.

The Oscar race, the first in nearly 30 years without Harvey Weinstein pulling strings, has so far been a free-for-all, with “The Post,” “Dunkirk,” “Call Me by Your Name,” “Lady Bird” and others jockeying for position.

Among television categories, HBO’s “Big Little Lies” emerged as the one to beat on Monday, taking six nominations, including for best limited series and all four of its actresses — Reese Witherspoon and Nicole Kidman in the lead category and Laura Dern and Shailene Woodley in supporting. “Big Little Lies” helped push HBO to 12 total nominations, the most of any television network.

Netflix was second with nine, including best drama nods for “The Crown” and “Stranger Things.” Other best drama candidates were the usual suspects: “Game of Thrones,” “The Handmaid’s Tale” and “This Is Us.” Best comedy nominations went to “Will & Grace,” “black-ish,” “Master of None” — all expected — and two new series: “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” on Amazon (the latest from the “Gilmore Girls” creator Amy Sherman-Palladino) and “SMILF,” a Showtime series that stars Frankie Shaw as a working-class single mother in Boston.

The nominations were announced by Alfre Woodard, Garrett Hedlund, Kristen Bell and Sharon Stone in a pre-dawn presentation at the Beverly Hilton Hotel timed for the East Coast-based morning news shows. The press association handed out Champagne before 5 a.m. Pacific Time to toast the 75th anniversary of the awards.

‘The Post’ Makes Headlines

Photo

Tom Hanks and Meryl Streep in “The Post.” Credit Niko Tavernise

This movie, which looks at Mrs. Graham’s role in publishing the Pentagon Papers, has been trying to hang back: It won’t arrive in wide release until Jan. 12. But early buzz has been strong — the National Board of Review named it the best film of the year — and Globes voters turned it white hot with nominations in the big four categories: best drama, director (Steven Spielberg), actress (Meryl Streep) and actor (Tom Hanks).

“The Post” also picked up nominations for its screenplay, written by Liz Hannah and Josh Singer, and the score by John Williams.

Recognition for ‘All the Money in the World’

Photo

Christopher Plummer as J. Paul Getty in “All the Money in the World.” Credit Giles Keyte/Sony

Because the press association gives a prize for best drama and best comedy, Hollywood often looks to directing nominees for clues about what film truly rose to the top at the Globes. Joining Mr. Spielberg, Mr. Nolan and Mr. del Toro were Martin McDonagh, who wrote and directed “Three Billboards,” and Mr. Scott, who abruptly reshot portions of his kidnapping thriller “All the Money in the World” after one of its original stars, Mr. Spacey, became embroiled in a sexual misconduct scandal.

Mr. Spacey’s replacement, Christopher Plummer, received a nomination for his supporting role. In a surprise, Michelle Williams, who stars in “All the Money in the World” as the desperate mother of J. Paul Getty III, who was kidnapped in 1973, was nominated alongside Ms. Streep, Ms. McDormand and Ms. Hawkins as best dramatic actress. Jessica Chastain (“Molly’s Game”) filled out that category.

A Diverse List of Nominees

Photo

Mary J. Blige, left, and Carey Mulligan in “Mudbound.” Credit Steve Dietl/Netflix

If you trust the handicappers at Gold Derby, an entertainment honors site, this year’s Academy Award nominations could be #OscarsSoWhite all over again. The prognosticators indicate there’s a possibility that only the supporting actress category would feature an actor of color: Mary J. Blige, for her sagacious matriarch in “Mudbound,” a Netflix drama about racial tension in rural Mississippi in the 1940s.

She received two nominations on Monday — the second for contributing lyrics to a “Mudbound” song — and was joined in the best supporting actress category by Hong Chau, a scene stealer in the social satire “Downsizing,” and Ms. Spencer, a former Oscar winner who plays a brash janitor in “The Shape of Water.”

Daniel Kaluuya, who helped propel “Get Out” to box-office heights, was nominated for best actor in a musical or comedy. Denzel Washington got a best drama actor nod for his offbeat lawyer in “Roman J. Israel, Esq.”

The press association has worked hard in recent years to jettison its reputation for oddball nominations that were interpreted more as efforts to populate its televised banquet with stars than honor the year’s best performances. The list on Monday contained no outright embarrassments. But there were some nods that assured pretty young faces: Ansel Elgort, an acting nominee for “Baby Driver,” for instance.

Foreign film nominees were Angelina Jolie’s “First They Killed My Father” (Cambodia), “A Fantastic Woman” (Chile), “In the Fade” (Germany and France”) “Loveless” (Russia) and “The Square” (Sweden, Germany and France).

Old and New Recognized in TV

Photo

Susie Myerson, left, and Rachel Brosnahan as Midge Maisel in Amazon’s “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.” Credit Nicole Rivelli/Amazon, via Associated Press

Globes voters like to make agenda-setting choices with their television awards. They paid early attention to “Transparent,” “Mr. Robot” and “The Crown,” helping to catapult those series into the cultural firmament. But Emmys voters may have beaten them to the punch this year.

At the most recent Emmy Awards, multiple trophies went to rookie shows like “The Handmaid’s Tale” and “Big Little Lies,” both of which received numerous Globes nominations.

But Globes voters also bestowed multiple nominations on “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” and “SMILF.” They even found ways to throw attention toward the new ABC hit “The Good Doctor,” which has received middling reviews, honoring its star, Freddie Highmore, in the best actor category. Joining him is Jason Bateman — nominated for his work in the new Netflix crime series “Ozark” — Sterling K. Brown (“This is Us”), Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) and Liev Schreiber (“Ray Donovan”).

John Koblin contributed reporting.

A version of this article appears in print on December 12, 2017, on Page C1 of the New York edition with the headline: Wide List Of Globes Nominees. Order Reprints| Today's Paper|Subscribe

 

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