Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Bernie

Bernie Sanders Has Narrow Lead in New National Poll - The New York Times

Bernie Sanders Has Narrow Lead in New National Poll

The survey, conducted for CNN, is the first national debate-qualifying poll showing Mr. Sanders in the lead. Joe Biden was close behind in the poll and led another.

Credit...Sarah Rice for The New York Times

A new national poll shows Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with a lead in a national debate qualifying poll for the first time in the 2020 Democratic primary, while a second national survey conducted by a different pollster shows former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. in front.

The first poll, conducted by SSRS for CNN and released early Wednesday morning, showed Mr. Sanders with 27 percent support and Mr. Biden following closely behind at 24 percent support. It was the first time Mr. Sanders has led nationally since Mr. Biden entered the race last April, though his lead was within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.

The second poll, released later Wednesday by Monmouth University, showed a different picture at the top, with Mr. Biden in the lead with 30 percent support and Mr. Sanders in second with 23 percent.

In both polls, Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts finished third with 14 percent support.

Former Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., and former Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg of New York traded places in the polls, with Mr. Buttigieg coming in fourth in CNN’s poll with 11 percent and fifth in Monmouth’s with 6 percent, and Mr. Bloomberg finishing fourth in Monmouth’s with 9 percent and fifth in CNN’s with 5 percent.

No other candidate garnered more than 5 percent support in either of the polls.

The surveys add detail to the portrait of how the race is unfolding nationally. A national survey released last week by Quinnipiac University showed Mr. Biden in the lead with 25 percent support and Mr. Sanders in second with 19 percent.

Mr. Biden has for months maintained steady support atop national surveys. The only time Mr. Sanders has led Mr. Biden in a high-quality national poll that the Democratic National Committee has sanctioned for debate qualifications was in August, when he and Ms. Warren each garnered 20 percent support to Mr. Biden’s 19. Ms. Warren led several national polls in the fall.

The polls have shown a different picture in Iowa, where a tight four-way race is underway between Mr. Biden, Mr. Sanders, Ms. Warren and Mr. Buttigieg.

But Mr. Sanders has shown particular signs of strength in some early-state polls, leading a highly anticipated poll of Iowa caucusgoers conducted by The Des Moines Register/CNN and a CBS/YouGov tracking poll of New Hampshire primary voters, both released this month. He also led a Suffolk University poll of New Hampshire voters released Tuesday that will not count toward debate qualification.

No comments:

Post a Comment